We've reached middle Sunday of Wimbledon 2013 and so, I thought I'd give a quick update on how my tournament trades have gone thus far. I'm not going to get into any Rafa, Roger, Sharapova, injuries, withdrawals or slippery grass issues as it's been done to death elsewhere and my blog is really about trading rather than news/gossip/waffle.
It's only a quick post because the sun is actually shining and I don't want to miss 'summer' while its here!
Q1 Review - Gasquet OUT - From what I saw, he never really looked that settled. Dropped a set in each of his two victories and although all four sets in his loss to Tomic were close, I had a bad feeling throughout the match which proved to be spot on.
Q1 Week 2 - Tomic has surprised me but he's always had the potential and I quite fancy him to cause Berdych some problems so, will be trading that one inplay. Haas has done well too but none of them will get close to Djokovic on current form, he was imperious against Chardy.
Q2 Review - Dimitrov OUT - Disappointing, especially the end when he twice had to come out and hold serve to stay in event after a rain delay but couldn't maintain any momentum from doing so.
Q2 Week 2 - Dogic and Seppi have done very well to get this far but it's hard to see anything but a Ferrer v Delpo QF as intended by the seedings. Ferrer has been making hard work of it so far while, Delpo hasn't dropped a set despite some close ones. I'll be opposing Ferrer inplay if they do meet in the QF, Delpo's won a slam before and his huge game really should pay more dividends on grass, is this the year for him?
Q3 Review - Wawrinka OUT, Janowicz IN - The less said about Wawrinka losing to the Oz rat Hewitt, the better. On the bright side Janowicz was backed at 36 to win the quarter and now looks nailed on to win it. However, I've traded out (weighted heavily towards JJ) because his price is very low and he is carrying an injury which could flare up and ruin a very nice trade. My aim with these trades is generally to take liabilities out at half the price or better and he clearly flew past that so I'm happy whatever happens now.
Q3 Week 2 - After all the shocks in the first week, I fully expect Janowicz to win the quarter and trouble Murray in the semi final. Again I'll be trading that one inplay so keep an eye on Twitter for updates.
Q4 Review - Youznhy IN - He's done well (as I thought he would), to reach this stage but with Murray such a strong favourite his price hasn't really moved enough to take any great profit it. That could change dramatically tomorrow of course but only if he beats Murray.....happy with my small profit.
Q4 Week 2 - Murray wins this quarter, his half and the whole damn thing!
Outright - I'm on Murray and happy to let it ride until the final before playing with profits. I also backed two women in the outright market when a few upsets started happening. Jankovic and Stephens, sadly JJ crashed and burned but Slone Stephens has battled well to reach the last 16. Having backed her at 75 and with Bartoli & Kvitova still in her half, I've taken my liability out for a free bet which I'll monitor closely but with a bit of luck she can make the semi at least.
One thing I have noted is that, I should also back these quarter winner picks in the Outright Winner market too (could have had Janowicz at 340) because you never know who might lose early. So, that's the approach I'll take with the US Open.
That's it, off to chill now and looking forward to what could be an historic week at Wimbledon next week. Good luck with your trading and catch you on Twitter.
@DarkDyson
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