Comeback - Football Strategy

Lay the team who takes the lead with 2-4% liability.

Comeback is another simple strategy which takes advantage of potentially very profitable low laying opportunities. It can potentially be used in any match but the best results have been seen when the favourite goes 0-1 down at home. At this point we simply lay the team who've just taken the lead with 2-4% liability but, if the side who're now leading are still above 2.00 you would back the losing team with a 2-4% stake instead. Obviously, you don't just do this blindly on every match you trade. You can watch how the game settles down after the goal and assess any tactical or team changes that are made before deciding if the losing team has a realistic chance of scoring the next goal.

Sometimes the price will be so low or the situation just right for you to lay immediately and be comfortable with the position regardless of how the losing team is playing. For example, last night in the Manchester derby when City took the lead at Old Trafford, it was obvious that there would be a positive & immediate reaction from Utd to try and get back into the match. So, I laid City almost immediately at 1.58 with 2% liability to cover a quick equaliser. I had planned to lay City again with another 2% liability at 1.42 or if they scored again to go 0-2 ahead. 

On this occasion Utd scored just 7mins after going behind so I was unable to do the second lay but happy to green up some nice profit from the initial lay anyway. Once you have green from this trade you can move it across however you see fit, depending on the game situation but if you're laying a team which, is 2 goals ahead I would usually recommend that you leave your profit split equally between the team that is winning and the draw because hardly any teams ever come back from 2 behind to win the match. The most likely outcome is the team that was 2 ahead will go on to win the match anyway and often they score a third goal as the losing team pushes further forward in search of an equaliser.

There are odd occasions when 2, 3 and even 4 goal leads are wiped out but they are very few and far between and when they do happen its even more rare to see the losing team comeback to win from such a long way behind. Recent history saw Utd come from 3 down against Chelsea to draw 3-3 and Newcastle famously went in 0-4 down at home against Arsenal but came all the way back to draw 4-4 in the end. The most common use you'll get out of the Comeback strategy is laying a team which is leading by one or two goals, where you'll only need the losing team to score once for you to green up with a tidy profit.