Today's bets are going to be a mixture of pure value options, in either the Match Odds or Under/Over 2.5 markets based on my tissue prices (see previous post) and other bets which my research has identified as strong possibilities.
As usual I only take these with minimal stake as live trading is my main source of profit, while these bets simply enable me to capitalise on opportunities in matches I'm not trading.
Stoke V Spurs - Both Teams To Score @1.90
As with a lot of games today and even more in the final week of the season, this match is tricky to call because Stoke have nothing to play for, 41pts keeps them up. Spurs on the other hand can't afford to drop any more points in the race for a Champs League place. Spurs have scored in all of their last 6, while Stoke have scored in 4 of the last 6 but there's no shame in the two blanks, coming against Man Utd & Everton. Plus, 7 out of 9 meetings between the two have seen winning BTTS bets and the price is decent value. Draw/Spurs @5.40 is also worth consideration but the price is no real value.
Final score 1-2, winning bet. Early Stoke goal was the perfect start & Spurs obliged in the 2nd half.
Everton V West Ham - Lay Everton @1.57 & Back Under 2.5 goals @2.20
This match has been complicated by Moyes leaving the club for Man Utd, making this his last home game in charge. It's going to be an emotional day at Goodison, trying to predict how that'll effect performance is virtually impossible and largely futile. Especially, as I my tissue prices identified two execellent value bets already. Under 2.5 goals won in 5 of the last 6 Everton and 4 of the last 6 West Ham games but, anything could happen in this one today. BTTS @1.90 is worth consideration as well but not great value.
Final score 2-0, one winning bet. Got a bit lucky here with both sides coming close to scoring the 3rd goal but neither did in the end thankfully.
Norwich V WBA - Over 2.5 goals @1.94
Motivation won't be an issue for Norwich who know 3pts should be enough to guarantee safety & with Man City away in the final week, it's now or never for them. Obviously, Over 2.5 goals was a winner in 4 of the last 6 games for both these sides and the price is a touch of value.
Final score 4-0, winning bet. Can't say I expected Norwich to win this bet for me on their own but who cares, as long as it wins lol.
More to follow later, good luck.
@DarkDyson
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