Unfortunately, I had some technical issues last week so I've not been able to update the previous tissue price post with the BSP. However, I plan to do so soon and will Tweet when it's ready.
Anyway, onto this weekends Premier League tissue prices, for what is the final round of fixtures for the season. I don't know about you but I'm just about ready for a break to be honest but I'm sure I'll be chomping at the bit for some football by the time August comes round! Of course there's still plenty of football on over the summer, June in particular is full of football action with the U21 Championships in Israel and the Confederations cup in Brazil, not to mention the Scandi leagues and MLS. However, I don't trade/bet on any of it as I'd simply be another mug punter with no clue about the teams I would be punting on. Of course, I could spend hours doing research, data mining, analysis and watching of match replay video to get up to speed but then I'd find very poor liquidity in the markets so wouldn't be able to trade the games anyway. Makes much more sense to take a break from football for a few weeks, trade some tennis (which I much prefer as well) and come back fresh for the new season.
Enough of the rambling for now and onto the tissue prices, as usual the current Betfair prices are shown in red next to potential pre-match movers and value bets.
Chelsea are a touch of value but we know Hazard & Terry are both out which might already be accounted for in the price. However, they still might get backed in as often happens with big teams at home but I'm not expecting any big moves pre match.
Chelsea at 1.58 Betfair at 1.72 atm
Everton at 6.43
Draw at 4.74
Unders at 2.14
Overs at 1.88 Betfair at 1.76 atm
Liverpool & Overs are too short as usual for them at home against low grade opponents. Again not expecting anything big pre match unless there's unexpected team news.
Liverpool at 1.36 Betfair at 1.26 atm
QPR at 10.89
Draw at 5.75
Unders at 2.16
Overs at 1.86 Betfair at 1.48 atm
Man City, like Chelsea above are a touch of value & could see some support especially if the team is full strength but again won't be a big move.
Man City at 1.26 Betfair at 1.34 atm
Norwich at 14.14
Draw at 7.31
Unders at 2.75
Overs at 1.57 Betfair at 1.54 atm
Arsenal very short here but wouldn't expect them to drift to be honest, Newcastle might be worth backing on the handicap or double chance. If they can keep it 0-0 for a while and Spurs take the lead in their match, Arsenal could get very nervous.
Newcastle at 3.79
Arsenal at 1.96 Betfair at 1.56 atm
Draw at 4.43
Unders at 2.58
Overs at 1.63 Betfair at 1.60 atm
Saints have been backed in quite a bit recently when playing at home and already they're short, not sure how much further it can go. Similar to Newcastle, Stoke might be worth getting onside as they have been in better form while Saints have been poor of late.
Southampton at 2.11 Betfair at 1.79 atm
Stoke at 3.92
Draw at 3.69
Unders at 1.72 Betfair at 1.79 atm
Overs at 2.40
Swans are short for their final home game and again, I'm not expecting any big moves unless there's some unexpected team news. Fulham have been awful for 6 weeks or so now which is probably why Swans are so short.
Swansea at 2.21 Betfair at 1.82 atm
Fulham at 3.69
Draw at 3.61
Unders at 1.69 Betfair at 2.12 atm
Overs at 2.46
Spurs understandably short here and I fully expect them to win but come up short of Champs League qualification.
Spurs at 1.56 Betfair at 1.31 atm
Sunderland at 6.66
Draw at 4.78
Unders at 2.13
Overs at 1.88 Betfair at 1.60 atm
Utd a touch of value at the moment but this price could drift further after SAF confirmed he's going to play some youngsters in his final game in charge. Plus, he already said that Lindegaard, Evans & Jones will be starting. Keep eyes peeled for team news, both Utd and Overs could see decent moves pre match.
WBA at 5.73
Man Utd at 1.61 Betfair at 1.86 atm
Draw at
Unders at 2.45
Overs at 1.69 Betfair at 1.68 atm
Match odds tissue prices pretty close here but Unders looks a fantastic value bet option. Not expecting any big moves pre match again.
West Ham at 1.78 Betfair at 1.69 atm
Reading at 4.98
Draw at 4.22
Unders at 1.99 Betfair at 2.28 atm
Overs at 2.01
Wigan pretty short here, maybe because Benteke is out for Villa after his sending off last week. With that in mind, Unders again looks good value.
Wigan at 2.69 Betfair at 2.16 atm
Aston Villa at 2.73
Draw at 3.81
Unders at 1.96 Betfair at 2.24 atm
Overs at 2.04
Be wary this weekend, the last games can often throw up some very unpredictable results and usually have more goals than an average week.
I hope the tissue prices are of some use, to help guide you on PMT
strat and/or getting on any straight value bets. As usual please feel
free to comment, question and feedback on any of my tissue prices and
I'll respond as soon as possible. Also, I'll be on Twitter updating my
trading live as it happens.
Cheers and good luck in the markets.
@DarkDyson
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